Friday, June 5, 2009

Mine That Bird looks good - - - but

Mine That Bird is training great and looks really good. If the Belmont track is sloppy or muddy I will go with him - BUT if the track is fast I am looking at Dunkirk. His trainer is Todd Pletcher, when Pletcher brings a horse to the Belmont he normally finishes in the top 3. He beat Curlin with a filly, named Rags to Riches. He did it because he had a good horse and she was fresh. Curlin had ran second in the Derby and Won the Preakness without a break. That is the same situation this time, Mine That Bird has just ran two very tough races that were just two weeks apart, now just 3 weeks later he is running the longest race he has ever ran at 1 1/2 miles. Pletcher is bringing in a fresh horse that has a higher Beyers Speed rating than Mine That Bird. That speed rating was earned on a shorter race but this horse is bred to go the distance, he is a 3 yr old that is continually improving.

Now there is one other factor, his name is D. Wayne Lukas. He has two horses in this race, they are both bred for the distance and either one could fire. The horsemen have a saying, "never overlook Lukas". I think he has won this race five times and he did it the last time with a
15 - 1 shot. Mercy, its gonna be a good race!!


At June 6, 2009 at 8:07 AM , Blogger John Inman said...

I'll go with Mine That Bird, but you're right, never overlook a Lukas-trained horse. What do I know, though?

At June 7, 2009 at 12:09 PM , Blogger colin said...

SummerBird looks the best to me. I'll pick him.

At June 7, 2009 at 12:52 PM , Blogger Bill Hinds said...

Good Pick Colin!!
Will hafta consult you for my handicaping!
SummerBird and Mine That Bird have the same daddy Birdstone, I should have noted that, mercy! I think SummerBird paid around $23 for a $2

At June 7, 2009 at 6:39 PM , Blogger Bill Hinds said...

Birdstone won the Belmont in 2004 with a Beyers Speed Rating of 101. SummerBird won it with the same speed rating of 101! This is Birdston's first crop to run as 3 yr olds, it will be real interesting to see the next crop, mercy!

At June 7, 2009 at 9:55 PM , Blogger John Inman said...

I should have known ...


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